周一204 · 2026-07-21 01:00
卡尔马 vs 马尔默AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
马尔默 win 50.7%
Confidence 25.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.2% | 25.1% | 50.7% | 负 | 25.6% |
| 14-Match | 26.1% | 26.4% | 47.5% | 负 | 21.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.035
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 1.69 | 4.13 | — |
| Draw | 3.81 | 2.48 | 3.98 | — |
| Away | 2.82 | 1.83 | 1.97 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 卡尔马 vs 马尔默?
The AI model leans 马尔默 win at 50.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.2%, draw 25.1%, away 50.7%. Kickoff 2026-07-21 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.