周日205 · 2026-07-19 22:30 · Finished
哈马比 vs 代格福什AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-0（胜）
AI Lean
哈马比 win 74.0%
Confidence 57.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 74.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 胜 | 57.1% |
| 14-Match | 57.1% | 26.2% | 16.7% | 胜 | 30.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.021
Draw
0.052
Away
0.092
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 1.66 | 1.35 | — |
| Draw | 3.75 | 2.44 | 5.90 | — |
| Away | 2.90 | 1.89 | 11.05 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 哈马比 vs 代格福什?
The AI model leans 哈马比 win at 74.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 74.0%, draw 17.0%, away 9.0%. Kickoff 2026-07-19 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.