周日203 · 2026-07-19 22:30 · Finished
埃夫斯堡 vs 天狼星AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
天狼星 win 59.9%
Confidence 36.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 16.7% | 23.4% | 59.9% | 负 | 36.5% |
| 14-Match | 18.8% | 25.1% | 56.1% | 负 | 31.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.042
Draw
0.033
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 6.00 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.27 | — |
| Away | 3.59 | 2.33 | 1.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 埃夫斯堡 vs 天狼星?
The AI model leans 天狼星 win at 59.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 16.7%, draw 23.4%, away 59.9%. Kickoff 2026-07-19 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.