周六007 · 2026-09-26 18:30 · Finished
日本U23 vs 朝鲜亚运AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
日本U23 win 74.1%
Confidence 57.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 74.1% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 胜 | 57.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.021
Draw
0.058
Away
0.090
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.35 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.92 | — |
| Away | 2.60 | 1.69 | 11.07 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 日本U23 vs 朝鲜亚运?
The AI model leans 日本U23 win at 74.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 74.1%, draw 16.9%, away 9.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-26 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.