周六001 · 2026-09-26 14:00 · Finished
中国亚运 vs 泰国U23AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
中国亚运 win 61.2%
Confidence 38.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 61.2% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 胜 | 38.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.025
Draw
0.047
Away
0.062
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.34 | 2.82 | 1.63 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.39 | — |
| Away | — | — | 6.24 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 中国亚运 vs 泰国U23?
The AI model leans 中国亚运 win at 61.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 61.2%, draw 22.8%, away 16.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-26 14:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.