周日002 · 2026-09-27 19:35 · Finished
中国 vs 新西兰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-3（负）
AI Lean
中国 win 40.8%
Confidence 10.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.8% | 30.6% | 28.6% | 胜 | 10.2% |
| 14-Match | 40.8% | 30.6% | 28.6% | 胜 | 10.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.046
Draw
0.027
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.45 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.27 | — |
| Away | 2.37 | 1.54 | 3.50 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 中国 vs 新西兰?
The AI model leans 中国 win at 40.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.8%, draw 30.6%, away 28.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-27 19:35.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.