周四003 · 2026-09-24 19:35 · Finished
中国 vs 马尔代夫AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
中国 win 90.7%
Confidence 83.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 90.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 胜 | 83.9% |
| 14-Match | 90.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 胜 | 83.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.006
Draw
0.334
Away
0.271
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-4)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.10 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 14.77 | — |
| Away | 2.36 | 1.53 | 39.37 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 中国 vs 马尔代夫?
The AI model leans 中国 win at 90.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 90.7%, draw 6.8%, away 2.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-24 19:35.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.