周四002 · 2026-09-24 19:00 · Finished
韩国 vs 厄瓜多尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
Draw 34.1%
Confidence 0.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 33.6% | 34.1% | 32.3% | 平 | 0.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.048
Draw
0.036
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 1.55 | 2.98 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.94 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.09 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 韩国 vs 厄瓜多尔?
The AI model leans Draw at 34.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 33.6%, draw 34.1%, away 32.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-24 19:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.