周四001 · 2026-09-24 18:05 · Finished
日本 vs 乌拉圭AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
日本 win 48.6%
Confidence 21.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 48.6% | 24.0% | 27.5% | 胜 | 21.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.036
Draw
0.041
Away
0.050
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 1.18 | 2.06 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.17 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.64 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 日本 vs 乌拉圭?
The AI model leans 日本 win at 48.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 48.6%, draw 24.0%, away 27.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-24 18:05.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.