26134 · 2026-09-29 02:45 · Finished
瑞典 vs 波兰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
瑞典 win 53.7%
Confidence 26.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.7% | 26.9% | 19.4% | 胜 | 26.8% |
| 14-Match | 56.1% | 22.1% | 21.8% | 胜 | 33.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.036
Away
0.072
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 1.84 | 1.86 | — |
| Draw | 4.36 | 2.83 | 3.72 | — |
| Away | 2.39 | 1.55 | 5.15 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 瑞典 vs 波兰?
The AI model leans 瑞典 win at 53.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.7%, draw 26.9%, away 19.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-29 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.