26133 · 2026-09-27 00:00 · Finished
冰岛 vs 爱沙尼亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
冰岛 win 62.3%
Confidence 40.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 62.3% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 胜 | 40.4% |
| 14-Match | 62.3% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 胜 | 40.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.045
Away
0.092
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.60 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.56 | — |
| Away | 2.32 | 1.51 | 6.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 冰岛 vs 爱沙尼亚?
The AI model leans 冰岛 win at 62.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 62.3%, draw 21.9%, away 15.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-27 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.