26133 · 2026-09-27 00:00 · Finished
保加利亚 vs 卢森堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
保加利亚 win 43.6%
Confidence 14.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 43.6% | 29.4% | 26.9% | 胜 | 14.2% |
| 14-Match | 43.6% | 29.4% | 26.9% | 胜 | 14.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.033
Away
0.052
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.29 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.40 | — |
| Away | 4.83 | 3.14 | 3.71 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 保加利亚 vs 卢森堡?
The AI model leans 保加利亚 win at 43.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 43.6%, draw 29.4%, away 26.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-27 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.