周日008 · 2026-09-28 02:45 · Finished
挪威 vs 葡萄牙AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
葡萄牙 win 35.6%
Confidence 0.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 35.4% | 29.0% | 35.6% | 负 | 0.2% |
| 14-Match | 35.4% | 29.0% | 35.6% | 负 | 0.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.042
Draw
0.034
Away
0.038
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 1.79 | 2.83 | — |
| Draw | 3.15 | 2.05 | 3.45 | — |
| Away | 3.11 | 2.02 | 2.81 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 挪威 vs 葡萄牙?
The AI model leans 葡萄牙 win at 35.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 35.4%, draw 29.0%, away 35.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-28 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.