周日004 · 2026-09-28 00:00 · Finished
丹麦 vs 威尔士AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
丹麦 win 56.2%
Confidence 29.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 56.2% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 胜 | 29.5% |
| 14-Match | 56.2% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 胜 | 29.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.046
Draw
0.056
Away
0.087
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 1.32 | 1.78 | — |
| Draw | 3.30 | 2.15 | 3.75 | — |
| Away | 4.83 | 3.14 | 5.83 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 丹麦 vs 威尔士?
The AI model leans 丹麦 win at 56.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 56.2%, draw 26.7%, away 17.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-28 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.