周日007 · 2026-09-28 02:45 · Finished
德国 vs 希腊AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
德国 win 66.6%
Confidence 49.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 66.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 胜 | 49.9% |
| 14-Match | 66.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 胜 | 49.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.045
Away
0.063
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 2.45 | 1.50 | — |
| Draw | 3.63 | 2.36 | 5.99 | — |
| Away | 2.17 | 1.41 | 5.98 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 德国 vs 希腊?
The AI model leans 德国 win at 66.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 66.6%, draw 16.7%, away 16.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-28 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.