周日005 · 2026-09-28 00:00 · Finished
塞尔维亚 vs 荷兰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
荷兰 win 60.6%
Confidence 36.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 15.5% | 23.9% | 60.6% | 负 | 36.7% |
| 14-Match | 15.5% | 23.9% | 60.6% | 负 | 36.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.082
Draw
0.054
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.24 | 3.41 | 6.44 | — |
| Draw | 3.62 | 2.35 | 4.19 | — |
| Away | 1.87 | 1.22 | 1.65 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 塞尔维亚 vs 荷兰?
The AI model leans 荷兰 win at 60.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 15.5%, draw 23.9%, away 60.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-28 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.