周四006 · 2026-09-25 02:45 · Finished
荷兰 vs 德国AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
德国 win 36.5%
Confidence 2.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.2% | 34.4% | 36.5% | 负 | 2.1% |
| 14-Match | 29.2% | 34.4% | 36.5% | 负 | 2.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.035
Away
0.040
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 2.44 | 3.43 | — |
| Draw | 3.53 | 2.29 | 2.91 | — |
| Away | 2.21 | 1.44 | 2.74 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 荷兰 vs 德国?
The AI model leans 德国 win at 36.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.2%, draw 34.4%, away 36.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-25 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.