26134 · 2026-09-29 02:45 · Finished
土耳其 vs 意大利AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-4（负）
AI Lean
土耳其 win 40.1%
Confidence 7.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-Match | 40.1% | 27.2% | 32.6% | 胜 | 7.5% |
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 1.48 | 2.49 | — |
| Draw | 4.24 | 2.76 | 3.68 | — |
| Away | 3.06 | 1.99 | 3.06 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 土耳其 vs 意大利?
The AI model leans 土耳其 win at 40.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.1%, draw 27.2%, away 32.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-29 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.