周五008 · 2026-09-26 02:45 · Finished
意大利 vs 比利时AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
比利时 win 45.0%
Confidence 16.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 28.9% | 26.0% | 45.0% | 负 | 16.1% |
| 14-Match | 28.9% | 26.0% | 45.0% | 负 | 16.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.032
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.46 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.84 | — |
| Away | 3.84 | 2.50 | 2.22 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 意大利 vs 比利时?
The AI model leans 比利时 win at 45.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 28.9%, draw 26.0%, away 45.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-26 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.