周一001 · 2026-09-21 15:00 · Finished
中国女足 vs 菲律宾女足AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-1（胜）
AI Lean
中国女足 win 82.1%
Confidence 66.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 82.1% | 15.5% | 2.4% | 胜 | 66.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.113
Away
0.185
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 1.56 | 1.22 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 6.44 | — |
| Away | — | — | 41.49 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 中国女足 vs 菲律宾女足?
The AI model leans 中国女足 win at 82.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 82.1%, draw 15.5%, away 2.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-21 15:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.