周三016 · 2026-09-17 06:30 · Finished
博塔弗戈 vs 格雷米奥AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
博塔弗戈 win 40.2%
Confidence 9.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.2% | 29.3% | 30.5% | 胜 | 9.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.029
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.49 | — |
| Draw | 3.02 | 1.96 | 3.41 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.28 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 博塔弗戈 vs 格雷米奥?
The AI model leans 博塔弗戈 win at 40.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.2%, draw 29.3%, away 30.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-17 06:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.