周四006 · 2026-09-18 03:00 · Finished
皇家社会 vs 伯恩茅斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
伯恩茅斯 win 35.2%
Confidence 0.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 34.6% | 30.3% | 35.2% | 负 | 0.6% |
| 14-Match | 34.6% | 30.3% | 35.2% | 负 | 0.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.027
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.97 | 2.58 | 2.89 | — |
| Draw | 3.30 | 2.15 | 3.30 | — |
| Away | 2.24 | 1.46 | 2.84 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 皇家社会 vs 伯恩茅斯?
The AI model leans 伯恩茅斯 win at 35.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 34.6%, draw 30.3%, away 35.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-18 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.