周四009 · 2026-09-18 03:00 · Finished
利勒斯特 vs 杜连斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
利勒斯特 win 41.4%
Confidence 8.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 41.4% | 25.2% | 33.4% | 胜 | 8.1% |
| 14-Match | 41.4% | 25.2% | 33.4% | 胜 | 8.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.028
Away
0.048
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 1.76 | 2.41 | — |
| Draw | 3.55 | 2.31 | 3.96 | — |
| Away | 2.84 | 1.85 | 3.00 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 利勒斯特 vs 杜连斯?
The AI model leans 利勒斯特 win at 41.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 41.4%, draw 25.2%, away 33.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-18 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.