周四005 · 2026-09-18 03:00 · Finished
水晶宫 vs 波兹南AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-0（胜）
AI Lean
水晶宫 win 50.3%
Confidence 23.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.3% | 27.1% | 22.6% | 胜 | 23.2% |
| 14-Match | 50.3% | 27.1% | 22.6% | 胜 | 23.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.043
Away
0.061
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 1.16 | 1.99 | — |
| Draw | 3.94 | 2.56 | 3.69 | — |
| Away | 5.26 | 3.42 | 4.43 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 水晶宫 vs 波兹南?
The AI model leans 水晶宫 win at 50.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.3%, draw 27.1%, away 22.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-18 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.