周四008 · 2026-09-18 03:00 · Finished
贝西克塔斯 vs 马赛AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-1（胜）
AI Lean
贝西克塔斯 win 62.4%
Confidence 39.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 62.4% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 胜 | 39.8% |
| 14-Match | 62.4% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 胜 | 39.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.023
Draw
0.034
Away
0.039
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 1.25 | 1.60 | — |
| Draw | 4.55 | 2.96 | 6.65 | — |
| Away | 3.82 | 2.48 | 4.43 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 贝西克塔斯 vs 马赛?
The AI model leans 贝西克塔斯 win at 62.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 62.4%, draw 15.0%, away 22.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-18 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.