26127 · 2026-09-17 03:00 · Finished
桑德兰 vs 阿尔克马AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
桑德兰 win 52.3%
Confidence 27.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 52.3% | 24.7% | 23.1% | 胜 | 27.6% |
| 14-Match | 52.3% | 24.7% | 23.1% | 胜 | 27.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.025
Draw
0.038
Away
0.064
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.91 | — |
| Draw | 2.88 | 1.87 | 4.06 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.34 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 桑德兰 vs 阿尔克马?
The AI model leans 桑德兰 win at 52.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 52.3%, draw 24.7%, away 23.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-17 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.