26127 · 2026-09-17 03:00 · Finished
AC米兰 vs 本菲卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 40.9%
Confidence 1.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 39.2% | 19.9% | 40.9% | 负 | 1.7% |
| 14-Match | 39.2% | 19.9% | 40.9% | 负 | 1.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.026
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.55 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.02 | — |
| Away | 3.60 | 2.34 | 2.45 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win AC米兰 vs 本菲卡?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 40.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 39.2%, draw 19.9%, away 40.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-17 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.