26127 · 2026-09-17 00:45 · Finished
奥莫尼亚 vs 塞尔塔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
塞尔塔 win 47.3%
Confidence 19.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.8% | 27.9% | 47.3% | 负 | 19.4% |
| 14-Match | 24.8% | 27.9% | 47.3% | 负 | 19.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.053
Draw
0.029
Away
0.032
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.30 | 3.44 | 4.04 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.58 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.11 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 奥莫尼亚 vs 塞尔塔?
The AI model leans 塞尔塔 win at 47.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.8%, draw 27.9%, away 47.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-17 00:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.