26127 · 2026-09-17 03:00 · Finished
考文垂 vs 维拉AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-3（负）
AI Lean
维拉 win 56.9%
Confidence 34.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 22.0% | 21.1% | 56.9% | 负 | 34.9% |
| 14-Match | 22.0% | 21.1% | 56.9% | 负 | 34.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.058
Draw
0.029
Away
0.029
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.54 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.75 | — |
| Away | 2.46 | 1.60 | 1.76 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 考文垂 vs 维拉?
The AI model leans 维拉 win at 56.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 22.0%, draw 21.1%, away 56.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-17 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.