26120 · 2026-09-09 03:00 · Finished
皇马 vs 国际米兰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
皇马 win 46.4%
Confidence 12.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 46.4% | 19.6% | 34.0% | 胜 | 12.4% |
| 14-Match | 46.4% | 19.6% | 34.0% | 胜 | 12.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.031
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.15 | — |
| Draw | 3.13 | 2.03 | 5.10 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.94 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 皇马 vs 国际米兰?
The AI model leans 皇马 win at 46.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 46.4%, draw 19.6%, away 34.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-09 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.