26120 · 2026-09-09 03:00 · Finished
里尔 vs 贝蒂斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
里尔 win 42.1%
Confidence 10.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 42.1% | 26.2% | 31.7% | 胜 | 10.4% |
| 14-Match | 42.1% | 26.2% | 31.7% | 胜 | 10.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.026
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.37 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.81 | — |
| Away | 4.95 | 3.22 | 3.16 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里尔 vs 贝蒂斯?
The AI model leans 里尔 win at 42.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 42.1%, draw 26.2%, away 31.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-09 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.