26120 · 2026-09-09 03:00 · Finished
波尔图 vs 曼城AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
波尔图 win 46.0%
Confidence 8.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 46.0% | 16.2% | 37.8% | 胜 | 8.2% |
| 14-Match | 46.0% | 16.2% | 37.8% | 胜 | 8.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.046
Draw
0.026
Away
0.036
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.17 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 6.17 | — |
| Away | 2.89 | 1.88 | 2.65 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 波尔图 vs 曼城?
The AI model leans 波尔图 win at 46.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 46.0%, draw 16.2%, away 37.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-09 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.