26120 · 2026-09-09 03:00 · Finished
多特蒙德 vs 比利亚雷AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
多特蒙德 win 63.8%
Confidence 44.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 63.8% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 胜 | 44.7% |
| 14-Match | 63.8% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 胜 | 44.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.027
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.57 | — |
| Draw | 3.33 | 2.16 | 5.25 | — |
| Away | — | — | 5.82 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 多特蒙德 vs 比利亚雷?
The AI model leans 多特蒙德 win at 63.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 63.8%, draw 19.0%, away 17.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-09 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.