26120 · 2026-09-09 00:45 · Finished
雅典AEK vs 林茨AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
雅典AEK win 52.4%
Confidence 23.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 52.4% | 18.7% | 28.9% | 胜 | 23.6% |
| 14-Match | 52.4% | 18.7% | 28.9% | 胜 | 23.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.037
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.91 | — |
| Draw | 3.29 | 2.14 | 5.35 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 雅典AEK vs 林茨?
The AI model leans 雅典AEK win at 52.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 52.4%, draw 18.7%, away 28.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-09 00:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.