周一009 · 2026-09-15 02:45 · Finished
圣旺红星 vs 梅斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
圣旺红星 win 38.6%
Confidence 7.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.6% | 31.6% | 29.8% | 胜 | 7.0% |
| 14-Match | 38.6% | 31.6% | 29.8% | 胜 | 7.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.039
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 2.30 | 2.59 | — |
| Draw | 2.94 | 1.91 | 3.16 | — |
| Away | 2.63 | 1.71 | 3.35 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 圣旺红星 vs 梅斯?
The AI model leans 圣旺红星 win at 38.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.6%, draw 31.6%, away 29.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-15 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.