周四011 · 2026-09-18 08:30 · Finished
弗拉门戈 vs 德尔瓦耶独立AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
弗拉门戈 win 72.7%
Confidence 55.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 72.7% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 胜 | 55.8% |
| 14-Match | 72.7% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 胜 | 55.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.026
Draw
0.049
Away
0.115
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 1.31 | 1.38 | — |
| Draw | 3.49 | 2.27 | 5.94 | — |
| Away | 4.55 | 2.96 | 9.52 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 弗拉门戈 vs 德尔瓦耶独立?
The AI model leans 弗拉门戈 win at 72.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 72.7%, draw 16.8%, away 10.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-18 08:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.