周三001 · 2026-09-23 13:30 · Finished
中国亚运 vs 阿联酋U23AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-0（平）
AI Lean
中国亚运 win 53.8%
Confidence 29.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.8% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 胜 | 29.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.025
Draw
0.028
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.86 | — |
| Draw | 3.33 | 2.16 | 4.13 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.54 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 中国亚运 vs 阿联酋U23?
The AI model leans 中国亚运 win at 53.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.8%, draw 24.2%, away 22.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-23 13:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.