26127 · 2026-09-16 18:00 · Finished
中国亚运 vs 朝鲜亚运AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
中国亚运 win 43.2%
Confidence 12.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 43.2% | 26.4% | 30.4% | 胜 | 12.8% |
| 14-Match | 43.2% | 26.4% | 30.4% | 胜 | 12.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.030
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 1.31 | 2.31 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.79 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.29 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 中国亚运 vs 朝鲜亚运?
The AI model leans 中国亚运 win at 43.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 43.2%, draw 26.4%, away 30.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-16 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.