26126 · 2026-09-15 20:15 · Finished
北京国安 vs 浦项制铁AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
北京国安 win 42.6%
Confidence 8.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 42.6% | 23.3% | 34.1% | 胜 | 8.5% |
| 14-Match | 42.6% | 23.3% | 34.1% | 胜 | 8.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.041
Away
0.040
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 1.07 | 2.35 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.29 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.94 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 北京国安 vs 浦项制铁?
The AI model leans 北京国安 win at 42.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 42.6%, draw 23.3%, away 34.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-15 20:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.