周二004 · 2026-08-19 03:00 · Finished
费内巴切 vs 里昂AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
费内巴切 win 55.9%
Confidence 30.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 55.9% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 胜 | 30.9% |
| 14-Match | 55.9% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 胜 | 30.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.026
Away
0.050
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.79 | — |
| Draw | 3.98 | 2.59 | 5.24 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.00 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 费内巴切 vs 里昂?
The AI model leans 费内巴切 win at 55.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 55.9%, draw 19.1%, away 25.0%. Kickoff 2026-08-19 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.