周二003 · 2026-09-23 02:00 · Finished
诺茨郡 vs 格林斯比AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
格林斯比 win 37.2%
Confidence 3.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 34.2% | 28.5% | 37.2% | 负 | 3.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.044
Draw
0.035
Away
0.036
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 1.96 | 2.92 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.51 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.69 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 诺茨郡 vs 格林斯比?
The AI model leans 格林斯比 win at 37.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 34.2%, draw 28.5%, away 37.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-23 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.