周四007 · 2026-09-04 07:00 · Finished
格雷米奥 vs 巴西国际AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
格雷米奥 win 47.9%
Confidence 20.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.9% | 25.1% | 27.0% | 胜 | 20.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.038
Draw
0.035
Away
0.040
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 1.80 | 2.09 | — |
| Draw | 2.78 | 1.81 | 3.98 | — |
| Away | 3.56 | 2.31 | 3.71 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 格雷米奥 vs 巴西国际?
The AI model leans 格雷米奥 win at 47.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.9%, draw 25.1%, away 27.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-04 07:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.