周二001 · 2026-08-19 06:00 · Finished
门多萨独立 vs 弗鲁米嫩塞AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
门多萨独立 win 42.3%
Confidence 13.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 42.3% | 28.9% | 28.9% | 胜 | 13.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.035
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.37 | — |
| Draw | 2.67 | 1.74 | 3.47 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 门多萨独立 vs 弗鲁米嫩塞?
The AI model leans 门多萨独立 win at 42.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 42.3%, draw 28.9%, away 28.9%. Kickoff 2026-08-19 06:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.