周三003 · 2026-08-20 06:00
波特诺山丘 vs 帕尔梅拉斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
帕尔梅拉斯 win 46.2%
Confidence 4.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 12.0% | 41.7% | 46.2% | 负 | 4.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.059
Draw
0.031
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 1.31 | 8.31 | — |
| Draw | 4.60 | 2.99 | 2.40 | — |
| Away | 3.47 | 2.26 | 2.16 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 波特诺山丘 vs 帕尔梅拉斯?
The AI model leans 帕尔梅拉斯 win at 46.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 12.0%, draw 41.7%, away 46.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-20 06:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.