26107 · 2026-08-21 03:00
本菲卡 vs 奥胡斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 87.0%
Confidence 79.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-Match | 87.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 胜 | 79.3% |
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.29 | 4.09 | 1.15 | — |
| Draw | 31.94 | 20.76 | 12.97 | — |
| Away | 1.23 | 0.80 | 18.87 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 本菲卡 vs 奥胡斯?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 87.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 87.0%, draw 7.7%, away 5.3%. Kickoff 2026-08-21 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.