周六004 · 2026-09-26 16:00 · Finished
秋田蓝色闪电 vs 新泻天鹅AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
秋田蓝色闪电 win 45.0%
Confidence 16.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 45.0% | 26.5% | 28.4% | 胜 | 16.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.031
Away
0.038
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.22 | — |
| Draw | 3.87 | 2.52 | 3.77 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.52 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 秋田蓝色闪电 vs 新泻天鹅?
The AI model leans 秋田蓝色闪电 win at 45.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 45.0%, draw 26.5%, away 28.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-26 16:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.