周六002 · 2026-09-05 18:00 · Finished
山形山神 vs 甲府风林AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
山形山神 win 37.2%
Confidence 2.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 37.2% | 34.5% | 28.3% | 胜 | 2.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.043
Draw
0.036
Away
0.051
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.69 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.90 | — |
| Away | 5.16 | 3.35 | 3.54 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 山形山神 vs 甲府风林?
The AI model leans 山形山神 win at 37.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 37.2%, draw 34.5%, away 28.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.