周六001 · 2026-09-19 17:30 · Finished
长崎航海 vs 大阪樱花AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
大阪樱花 win 38.9%
Confidence 3.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 35.2% | 25.9% | 38.9% | 负 | 3.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.049
Draw
0.033
Away
0.039
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.84 | — |
| Draw | 3.69 | 2.40 | 3.87 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.57 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 长崎航海 vs 大阪樱花?
The AI model leans 大阪樱花 win at 38.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 35.2%, draw 25.9%, away 38.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 17:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.