周六004 · 2026-09-19 18:30 · Finished
横滨水手 vs 水户蜀葵AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
横滨水手 win 47.2%
Confidence 17.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.2% | 22.7% | 30.0% | 胜 | 17.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.037
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 1.29 | 2.12 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.40 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.33 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 横滨水手 vs 水户蜀葵?
The AI model leans 横滨水手 win at 47.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.2%, draw 22.7%, away 30.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.