周五001 · 2026-09-11 18:00 · Finished
京都不死鸟 vs 柏太阳神AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
柏太阳神 win 48.4%
Confidence 20.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 23.4% | 28.3% | 48.4% | 负 | 20.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.042
Draw
0.028
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.28 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.53 | — |
| Away | 1.88 | 1.22 | 2.07 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 京都不死鸟 vs 柏太阳神?
The AI model leans 柏太阳神 win at 48.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 23.4%, draw 28.3%, away 48.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-11 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.